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The Principles
of Fixed Income Investing |
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PART
FOUR:
Managing the Fixed Income Portfolio
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Managing
a fixed income portfolio involves planning the content, organizing the
cash flow, controlling for both receipt and disbursement of the money,
and deciding what to buy and/or to sell based on what is going on in
the Fixed Income Market place.
Realistically,
it also involves a great deal of MMSA, Misinformed Media
Sensationalism Avoidance, and that scarcest of all commodities... DISCIPLINE!! |
The following analysis was
released in the Investment Forum some time ago. Make sure you
understand it and your Fixed Income Investment Life will become more
rewarding:
- What's better for your financial health: receiving 2% or 7%?
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The media is (unintentionally) doing all that it can to confuse people about the
simple (and obvious) answer to this basic investment question.
The problem lies in the fact that investment commentary is
given totally outside, and without consideration of, Personal
Asset Allocation Models. Such a model invariably and correctly
has a target percentage for investments in various types of fixed
income securities, and the income portion of the portfolio is
added to at all times regardless of current interest rate levels.
This is a form of "compounding", something we don't hear too
much about anymore.
- Anything less disciplined is merely speculation as to the
direction of future rates and is always counter productive. Still,
it is what financial experts love to do! Why? Because, for
some reason, they think of income investing as a boring
alternative to equity speculating and not as an integral part of
a long term investment plan. A place to "park the money"
until
the time is "right" to buy stocks again! Consequently, they
are
cautioning the public that buying bond (funds) now (for higher
income than money market funds and less risk than stocks)
may not be a good idea because interest rates may have the
audacity to go back up, reducing the market value of the funds!
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So, you say, that's absolutely true! And, I agree that the market
value of any fixed income security will fall with expectations of
increasing interest rates.
BUT, the point is that the PURPOSE
of income securities is to generate income and not to produce
some meaningless rise in market value.
Why meaningless?
Because the average investor would never even consider taking
a trading profit on a bond type security.
- Another problem with popular advice in the fixed income
arena is the premise that investors' only available fixed income
investment vehicle is the conventional (open ended) bond fund.
Bond funds are the worst
possible income vehicle out there for many of the same reasons
that equity funds disappoint people on a regular basis.
Preferred Stocks, Corporate Bond Unit Trusts, Closed End
Municipal Funds, some REITs, and Government Securities can
all be purchased by individuals for consistent and predictable
cash flow. If interest rates fall further, profit taking opportunities
may occur. At lower rates, just buy more of those securities
that return principal regularly. As interest rates rise, it's easy to
add to holdings selectively to increase yield and to reduce
average cost.
Unrealized growth (or loss) of market value must not be an
issue. The purpose of this type of investment is income and
only income. A realized gain is gravy. A realized loss,
unnecessary.
- And then there's the question of purchasing high yielding stocks, as a substitute for fixed income investing itself. Not
the right thinking at all. Is 4% better than 7%? Same answer
as above. Equities are equities and should never be used as
a fixed income allocation "filler". If the high dividend
yield
means that a good quality stock is undervalued, by all means
add it to your equity holdings (and don't forget to sell it when
it goes up a reasonable amount).
I, for one, would never buy a
stock that didn't pay some dividend... but why? Not for the obvious
reasons for sure.
- In my 30 years of managing money, I have seen more errors
in judgment in the fixed income area than anywhere else,
particularly in those historically rare circumstances where rates
move quickly in either direction! There are just two classes of
investment securities and each has a distinctly different purpose.
Never lose sight of that and you will avoid many costly mistakes.
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PART
FIVE: Asset Allocation Considerations & the Fixed Income Portfolio |
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Many investors
confuse Asset Allocation planning with one of the very basic
Principles of Investing, Diversification.
(The other two basics are Quality and Income Generation.)
Diversification is a risk minimization technique that comes into play
when the investor actually begins to purchase securities to fill in
the the Fixed Income and Equity "buckets" of the portfolio.
There
are several types of diversification, but the more important ones to
consider in the Fixed Income side are:
the size of individual security positions and the total size of
security group positions
(i.e., Preferreds, Corporate Bonds, Municipals,
and Individual Securities, Closed End Funds, and Unit Trusts).
Income is the only consideration, safe and predictable.
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An Asset Allocation
Formula is a long-range, semi-permanent, planning decision that has
absolutely nothing to do with market timing or "hedging" of
any kind.
Sure,
a 40% asset allocation to Fixed Income may soften the fall in the
portfolio bottom line during a stock market downturn, but that has
nothing to do with the purpose of Fixed Income Securities nor is it in
any way related to the reasons for having an asset allocation plan in
the first place. And it just as frequently does the opposite!
Similarly, the movement of a person's assets from
a falling bond market to a rising stock market or vice versa is about
as far away from the principles of asset allocation as one can get!
Note: If you focus
exclusively on "market value", dwell upon comparisons of a
unique portfolio with Market Averages, expect "performance"
during specific time intervals, and listen intently when someone
speaks about the future, any asset allocation work you do will be
ineffective.
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Neither Asset Allocation nor
Diversification decisions should be based upon Market Value numbers.
The
"cost basis" of the
securities in question must be used for consistent decision making in
all market environments. This is a totally new concept... one that
you've probably never heard of before. |
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Asset Allocation
works particularly well within an Investment Management approach that
uses
The
Working Capital Model.
This approach
provides the investor with an easy way to analyze both Asset
Allocation and Diversification simply and regularly. It also
facilitates year to year progress analysis, without consideration of
the vagaries of market value determination. It suits any asset
allocation formula.
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Part Six: Links
to Fixed Income Security Information Web Sites |
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Closed End Fund Association
ETF Connect
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Solid listings of a
large number of Closed End Funds plus all the other information you
should need. |
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The
SEC & Closed-End Funds |
An educational site
that explains the basics of all types of Closed End Funds, AND also
provides some info on Unit Investment Trusts (UITs). |
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Eaton Vance Closed-End Funds
Gabelli Asset Management, Inc.
Nuveen Closed-End Funds
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There are many issuers of
Closed End Funds, and thousands of funds to choose from. These links are
to some of the major CLOSED END FUND
marketers. |
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National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts
(NAREIT) |
Excellent source of
information on REITs. See the listing and stick with the less
speculative, well known, and moderate yield entities. |
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[PDF]
A
Guide to Unit Investment Trusts |
Here's a complete guide
to Unit Trusts, chapter & verse. |
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Yahoo! All about Unit Investment Trusts |
More information on Unit Trusts.
Excellent for FIXED INCOME INVESTING, and best of all in an
upward moving interest rate environment.
Don't
ever get sucked into using them for Equity Investing!!! |
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CEFs,
REITs, UITs belong in Fixed Income Portfolios...BUT only under strict
rules of Quality, Diversification, and Income!
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