Commissions
= Brainwashing Spelled Backwards!
Well, not really, but nowhere in the world of investing is "Brainwashing"
more apparent than in investor (even government regulator) attitudes toward
commissions. Since Charles Schwab first shocked Wall Street by offering
discount commission rates, a new industry has developed with a huge,
cult-like, following. Investment Managers are often called upon to explain
why they prefer to operate using full service firms as, I'm told, most
independent managers do. Many of you may even stop reading when I utter my
blasphemous opinion that [once a portfolio is in place] commissions are
simply a "variable cost" of Portfolio Management and not something to get
particularly stressed about. I often wonder if there is some correlation
between discount brokerage diehards and people who think certified pre-owned
is the same as new--checked out that Schwab smile recently?
Contrary to
popular belief, successful investing requires the conscious coordination of
two sets of well-documented principles, not just the placement of securities
orders in one medium or another, or at high or low commission rates. These
principles are the Quality, Diversification, and Income (QDI) tenets of
Investments 101, and the Planning, Leading, Organizing, and Controlling
(PLOC) basics crammed into the brains of all Sophomore Management students.
As every experienced Manager learns, it is the fixed costs of an operation
that require tight control, and the variable costs that require creative
direction! Brokerage Commissions are one of these variable costs, as are
Income Taxes. If you are managing the investment enterprise properly, your
variable costs will move ever higher while your fixed costs remain
relatively constant. Much to your pleasant surprise, your realized profits
will increase at a higher level than the increase in your variable costs!
All too often, commission avoidance and tax reduction
issues are allowed to "Wag the Dog", causing millions of unrealized profit
dollars to hit the books as realized losses. In The Brainwashing of
the American Investor, I've illustrated how (in a percentage-target, trading
environment) investors who pay higher commissions actually make more money,
in dollar terms, than their frugal "discounterparts"[sic]! The Math is
simple; 10% of a larger number is a larger number, period. But it should not
be an issue at all. And, if it were really as big a deal as it is purported
to be, there just wouldn't be any full service-high commission brokers
anymore.
Think about it this way. The major Full
Service firms on Wall Street charge backbreaking, obscene, commissions and
they stay in the retail business. Would they allow clients with as little as
$100,000 to opt for a Flat Fee arrangement if they thought that they would
make less money?
In investing, fixed costs are minimal unless you go out
of your way to increase them by adopting some form of flat fee,
commission-replacement arrangement. A management person responsible for
directing your portfolio is a fixed expense. But if he or she really
understands money, you will be discouraged from adopting pre-paid commission
arrangements on a permanent basis. If you are paying such a flat fee on an
income portfolio, we need to talk! Fixed income investing is much like
furnishing a home - when you are done, you have low fixed expense and almost
no variable costs. Equity portfolio investing is more like running an active
retail business--the more turnover, the better. Most retailers have a
standard mark-up policy, and most understand the turnover issue. The last
thing they want to see is a higher inventory "value" from quarter to
quarter---this means that the merchandise isn't selling! Higher sales and
profit numbers are the key issue. In fact, many companies send their highest
commission earners on a cruise! Variable expenses are the fertilizer that
grows sales, without which there are no profits. And, in equities, if there
are no realized profits, why bother?
Retailers' shelves are full
of merchandise, purchased at different times, at different prices, and from
countless wholesalers who, themselves, have varying markups. Items that move
slowly are marked down for easier sale, damaged items are sold at a loss,
etc, etc. Employees get their commissions, suppliers of replacement
merchandise get their markups, and the cycle continues. Just like running an
Equity Portfolio, right? The more commissions the retailer pays out to his
sales persons, the more profit he brings to the bottom line. Just like
running an Equity Portfolio, right? Now, what really happens when retailers:
(1) reduce their buying and selling expenses to zero, but (2) add an
additional 1.5% to overhead, while (3) keeping a profit target of 10%?
This precisely how the normal Flat Fee
Arrangement plays out. But, even without the increase in overhead or fixed
costs, the profit is a bigger number. Sometimes, the old fashioned way is
better. Do the Math.
Surprise, you'll get better bottom line numbers with the larger commissions!
Total cost of our inventory
$102,000
$100,000
Price to produce 10% net/net profit
$114,240
$110,000
Less commissions @ 2% & 0%
of cost -$2,040
-$0
Net Receipts on sales of
merchandise $112,200
$110,000
Less Increase in Overhead
-$0
- $1,575
Total Profit on sales
$10,200
$8,425
Total profit as a % of
Total Cost
10.00%
8.43%
So by cutting both our
acquisition costs and our selling costs (and abusing our employees in the
process), we've effectively reduced our gross sales by $2,200 and our actual
dollar profit by $1,775 while locking in a 15.7% smaller profit margin.
This Math is flawed in one respect. The lower level of service and/or
commitment you get from suppliers and salespeople will absolutely cause
other costs to rise, as they will provide their best service to better
customers. You won't sell as much stuff, and you won't sell it as quickly.
Applying this illustration
to the stock market and equity trading, one would find similar results. With
a full service broker, you may wind up with a sales target for a particular
stock that is somewhere between 25 and 75 cents per share higher (the larger
the position, the smaller the differential). But you'll get a phone call
when a selling target is reached, or an old favorite has come back into
range. And, with independent brokerages all over the place, you need not pay
for service with your body parts.
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The 2nd Edition of "Brainwashing" is coming! The 2nd
Edition of "Brainwashing" is coming! Place your order now
Steve Selengut
http://www.sancoservices.com
http://www.valuestockbuylistprogram.com
Professional Portfolio Management since 1979
Author of: "The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The
Book that Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to Read", and "A Millionaire's
Secret Investment Strategy"